How to Calculate Marketing RoI

Anne,a mother of twin babies,purchased a stroller.She had been researching at it for 9 months now, much before she actually required it.Across online portals,reviews, friends and of course the television commercials were always there.
Let’s say the brand she bought has a presence across all of these channels.Because of the variety of touchpoints, it makes it difficult to measure exactly where the ad was first noticed that encouraged a conversion across this cycle of 9 months.Consumers may remember your brand, but may not be able to recall where they saw your ads.
The marketer for the brand will surely have a tough time attributing this sale to one channel and then calculate the ROI for it.It goes without saying,the road ahead is going to be more bumpy as more and more marketing touchpoints are integrated into the daily life of a customer.

An Art that has become larger than Science:

In an ideal world,ROI = (Revenue growth – Marketing budget)/Marketing budget

What about these factors then?
1.Customer satisfaction impact
2.Multiple Influencers
3.External macro-economic trends

Marketing will move beyond theories that are false and theories that are not yet false.to measure it we would require tools to assess the degree of likelihood of a theory.

Marketing Ratience will be the successor to Marketing Performance Management,which incorporates information theory and probability theory.

In Anne’s case,the probability of various touchpoints in her kind of persona would be crucial for attribution.

The problem with ROI obsession:

So what can be done to get a hold on this Miura bull called ROI.We take a step back here and forget about the ROI of Marketing.And,think about the cost of ignoring it.
If, ROI translates into measuring the variables and outcomes most applicable to the particular business,then this means we are ignoring the very factors which measures the business profitability.
The larger problem with ROI. It encourages us to play our cards safe and hence underperform.


The Unicorn of marketing,Content :

Content, the poster boy of marketing at the moment, seems to fall under the Heisenberg uncertainty principle.It states no particle simultaneously has both a precise position and a precise momentum. We can't measure both, precisely because they don't both exist simultaneously.So true for content.

This principles brings on a few questions on content:
•             How does this new white paper and complementary video add value to the X marketing campaign, but also the value of the Y product release and Z customer forum?
•             What’s the value of a newsletter subscribed member? How does that value increase over time as the member matures and the amount of such data become larger and richer?
•             How does the value of each content asset fluctuate over time
•             How does the publishing of media-related products increase the value of the brand over time by establishing us as a differentiated brand?

Having said that, the power of content can not be denied.A terrific example here is, ZAGG, an online retailer, knows its blog results in sales.It earns a whopping 172% ROI and 10% of the company's site traffic.It is the single most important driver of sales for it today.

KPI’s in a constantly shifting world:

Key performance indicators (KPIs) use quantifiable metrics to determine performance over time. These metrics must be customized to your business and goals. In the fast moving digital landscape, KPIs should be selected based on three factors:


-How soon does it matter – business urgency
-How much does it matter- business importance
-How long does it matter-business significance

One of the most important things about spending dollars to get the attention, is to make sure that you are ready for the attention.

XEROX’s “Get Optimistic”campaign with Forbes to connect with 30 top accounts .70% of targeted companies interacted with the microsite, readership increased 300-400% over previous email campaigns, added 20,000 new contacts, generated 1,000+ scheduled appointments, and get this: yielded $1.3 BILLION in pipeline revenue.

It's not about just having a website. It's whether or not that website works well to sell. Remember,it was finally the web or in-store experience that led Anne to purchase the stroller.And,this is where the holy grail of UX lies.But that is a story for another time. Stay tuned!